Uruguay Primera División
Uruguay Primera División — August 1, 2026 pm31 21:30
Our Prediction
Combo Double chance : Penarol or draw and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Penarol
Win or draw
Win Probability
Goals Prediction
Team Comparison
| Penarol | Stat | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Form | 52% |
| 50% | Attack | 50% |
| 33% | Defense | 67% |
| 61% | Poisson Distribution | 39% |
| 62% | Head to Head | 38% |
| 54% | Goals | 46% |
| 51.3% | Total | 48.7% |
Penarol vs Cerro Largo Match Analysis & Prediction
Penarol vs Cerro Largo — Match Preview & Prediction
Penarol welcome Cerro Largo in Torneo Intermedio – 7 of the Uruguay Primera División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. This shapes up as a tightly contested encounter — our model rates it Penarol 45%, Draw 45%, Cerro Largo 10%, reflecting how closely matched these two sides are.
Penarol and Cerro Largo Recent Form Analysis
Looking at the underlying numbers, Cerro Largo have been in better form recently (52%% vs 48%%), Penarol hold the attacking edge (50%%). Additionally, Cerro Largo are the more solid defensive unit (67%%). Overall, Penarol edge the statistical comparison.
Penarol vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head History
The goals prediction for this match is -3.5. The expected scoreline sits around Penarol -2.5 — Cerro Largo -2.5, suggesting a cagey encounter with few clear-cut chances.
Tactical Matchup: Penarol vs Cerro Largo
Our prediction: Combo Double chance : Penarol or draw and -3.5 goals. Penarol are tipped to prevail — Win or draw. As always, these predictions are based on statistical modeling and should be considered alongside your own analysis.