Uruguay Primera División
Uruguay Primera División — July 18, 2026 pm31 15:30
Our Prediction
Winner : Deportivo Maldonado
Predicted winner: Deportivo Maldonado
Win Probability
Goals Prediction
Team Comparison
| Progreso | Stat | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| 21% | Form | 79% |
| 25% | Attack | 75% |
| 36% | Defense | 64% |
| 25% | Poisson Distribution | 75% |
| 50% | Head to Head | 50% |
| 54% | Goals | 46% |
| 35.2% | Total | 64.8% |
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Match Analysis & Prediction
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — Match Preview & Prediction
Progreso welcome Deportivo Maldonado at Parque Abraham Paladino in Torneo Intermedio – 6 of the Uruguay Primera División on Saturday, July 18, 2026. This shapes up as a tightly contested encounter — our model rates it Progreso 10%, Draw 45%, Deportivo Maldonado 45%, reflecting how closely matched these two sides are.
Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado Recent Form Analysis
Looking at the underlying numbers, Deportivo Maldonado have been in better form recently (79%% vs 21%%), Deportivo Maldonado hold the attacking edge (75%%). Additionally, Deportivo Maldonado are the more solid defensive unit (64%%). Overall, Deportivo Maldonado edge the statistical comparison.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head History
The expected scoreline sits around Progreso -1.5 — Deportivo Maldonado -3.5, suggesting a cagey encounter with few clear-cut chances.
Tactical Matchup: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Our prediction: Winner : Deportivo Maldonado. We're backing Deportivo Maldonado to come away with a positive result from this Uruguay Primera División fixture. As always, these predictions are based on statistical modeling and should be considered alongside your own analysis.