Europa League — July 16, 2026 pm31 17:30
Our Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or CSKA Sofia and +2.5 goals
Predicted winner: CSKA Sofia
Win or draw
Win Probability
Goals Prediction
Team Comparison
| Derry City | Stat | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 0% | Form | 100% |
| 40% | Attack | 60% |
| 40% | Defense | 60% |
| 0% | Poisson Distribution | 0% |
| 0% | Head to Head | 100% |
| 40% | Goals | 60% |
| 40.0% | Total | 60.0% |
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Match Analysis & Prediction
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia — Match Preview & Prediction
Derry City welcome CSKA Sofia at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in 1st Qualifying Round of the Europa League on Thursday, July 16, 2026. This shapes up as a tightly contested encounter — our model rates it Derry City 0%, Draw 50%, CSKA Sofia 50%, reflecting how closely matched these two sides are.
Derry City and CSKA Sofia Recent Form Analysis
Looking at the underlying numbers, CSKA Sofia have been in better form recently (100%% vs 0%%), CSKA Sofia hold the attacking edge (60%%). Additionally, CSKA Sofia are the more solid defensive unit (60%%). Overall, CSKA Sofia edge the statistical comparison.
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Head-to-Head History
The goals prediction for this match is +2.5. The expected scoreline sits around Derry City -2.5 — CSKA Sofia -3.5, suggesting a cagey encounter with few clear-cut chances.
Tactical Matchup: Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Our prediction: Combo Double chance : draw or CSKA Sofia and +2.5 goals. CSKA Sofia are tipped to prevail — Win or draw. As always, these predictions are based on statistical modeling and should be considered alongside your own analysis.